Month: March 2010
March 2010
Results Announcement
- 13 Apr 10 : SPH (2H10)
- 12 May 10 : SPAusNet (2H10)
STI = 2887.46 (-45.93)
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SPH |
FY09 (Aug) |
26.0 |
25.0 |
$3.82 |
6.545% |
14.69 |
Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 9ct (Special) |
|
SingPost |
FY09 (Mar) |
7.726 |
6.25 |
$1.05 |
5.952% |
13.59 |
Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct |
|
STI ETF |
Dec-09 |
— |
3.00 |
$2.94 |
2.041% |
— |
Dec09 3ct ; Jun09 4ct |
|
ST Engg |
FY09 (Dec) |
14.78 |
13.28 |
$3.19 |
4.163% |
21.58 |
Final 4ct + 6.28ct (Special) ; Interim 3ct |
Transport
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SBSTransit |
FY09 (Dec) |
17.75 |
8.8 |
$1.78 |
4.944% |
10.03 |
Interim 4.5ct ; Final 4.3ct |
|
ComfortDelGro |
FY09 (Dec) |
10.52 |
5.30 |
$1.56 |
3.397% |
14.83 |
Interim 2.63ct ; Final 2.67ct |
|
SMRT |
FY09 (Mar) |
10.70 |
7.75 |
$2.04 |
3.799% |
19.07 |
Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.0ct |
TELCO
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SingTel |
FY09 (Mar) |
21.67 |
12.5 |
$3.17 |
3.943% |
14.63 |
Interim 5.6ct ; Final 6.9ct |
|
M1 |
FY09 (Dec) |
16.80 |
13.40 |
$2.08 |
6.442% |
12.38 |
Interim 6.2ct ; Final 7.2ct |
|
StarHub |
FY09 (Dec) |
18.68 |
19.00 |
$2.29 |
8.297% |
12.26 |
Q1 4.5ct ; Q2 4.5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct |
Funds / Infrastructure
|
Stock |
Period |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
NAV |
Div Breakdown |
|
SPAus |
1H10 (Sep-09) |
A4.0 (Gross) |
$1.17 |
8.771% |
A$0.91 |
2H09 A5.6578ct ; 1H09 A5.7431ct |
|
MIIF |
2H – Dec09 |
1.50 |
$0.525 |
5.714% |
$0.84 |
2H09 1.5ct ; 1H09 1.5ct |
* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.2827) fm Yahoo
NOTES :
- Mkt Price is as on 31-Mar-10
- MIIF : 2H09 (Dec) – 1.5ct ; 1H09 (Jun) – 1.5ct
- ST Engg : Q409 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 6.28ct (Special) ; Q209 (Jun) – 3ct
- SBSTransit : Q409 (Dec) – 4.3ct ; Q209 (Jun) – 4.5ct
- ComfortDelgro : Q409 (Dec) – 2.67ct ; Q209 (Jun) – 2.63ct
- StarHub : Q409 (Dec) – 5ct ; Q309 (Sep) – 5ct ; Q209 (Jun) – 4.5ct ; Q109 (Mar) – 4.5ct
- StarHub : FY10 Div Policy 20ct ie. 5ct/Q
- SingPost : Q310 (Dec09) – 1.25ct ; Q210 (Sep09) – 1.25ct ; Q110 (Jun09) – 1.25ct
- M1 : 2H09 (Dec) – Final 7.2ct ; 1H09 (Jun) – Interim 6.2ct
- SPAus : 1H09 (Sep08) – A4ct (before tax) / Est. A3.8113ct (after tax)
- SingTel : 1H10 (Sep09) – Interim 6.2ct
- SMRT : Q210 (Sep09) – Interim 1.75ct
- SPH : 2H09 (Aug) – Final 9ct ; Special 9ct ; 1H09 (Feb) – 7ct
- SPAus : Projected DPU = A8ct (FY10 – Year End Mar-10) ; 1-for-4 Rights @ A$0.78/S$0.86
StarHub – OCBC
New Pay TV ruling more positive
Good share price performance. StarHub’s share price has done pretty well since dipping to a low of S$2.08 on 18 Feb with a 11.1% rebound to hit a high of S$2.31; this compared to the 4.6% rise in the STI over the same period. Besides the expected improvement in its defensive earnings and its attractive dividend yield of 9.6% (based on then price of S$2.08), we believe that the recent gains were also driven by the latest revamp made by the Singapore government in the Pay TV industry recently.
Significant revamp for Pay TV industry. As a recap, Pay TV providers are now required to cross-carry each other’s content that is acquired or renewed on an exclusive basis; this allows Pay TV customers to watch all Pay TV content with their preferred operator without having to pay any extra fee for doing so. Instead, the content supplier needs to pay competitors a fee for carrying its content; in return, the competitor must not modify the content in any way, including ads and branding. However, this only applies to any contract signed or renewed from 12 Mar 2010: this means that previously signed content like the much-watched English Premier League (EPL) will continue to be carried exclusively by SingTel’s mio TV.
Move more positive for StarHub. Still, the new ruling is likely to be slightly more positive for StarHub, as its cable TV system is likely to remain the preferred mode of transmission, given that it has already penetrated some 539k homes (as of end 2009). The mandate to “share” exclusive content would also reduce SingTel’s impetus to use its strong balance sheet to acquire such content to drive the take up of its mio TV services; this likely leading to less aggressive content bidding (but not eliminate in our view as having more content to offer still means higher revenue), further reducing StarHub’s content cost.
Maintain BUY with improved S$2.44 fair value. We also think that the potential subscriber loss for its Pay TV services would not be as large as previously estimated (in light of the loss of 2010-2012 EPL broadcast right). As such, we are revising up our FY10 and FY11 revenue by 9.0% and 1.4% and net profit by 3.0% and 6.6% respectively. Our DCF-based fair value also rises from S$2.29 to S$2.44. Coupled with a 8.7% dividend yield, we maintain our BUY rating.
STEng – BT
ST Engg wins US$165m US Navy contract
ST ENGINEERING’S US shipyard unit, VT Halter Marine, has won a contract from the US Navy to build a fourth fast missile craft for the Egyptian Navy.
The contract is worth at least US$165 million, taking the total value of the fast missile craft project to US$807 million, ST Engg said.
‘We are working towards the delivery of all four vessels to exceed the US Navy’s expectations,’ said Chang Cheow Teck, president of ST Marine, the marine arm of ST Engineering.
Work on the latest craft should begin by mid-2011, with delivery scheduled for end-2013. Work on the first craft is expected to be completed by mid-2012.
ST Engg said the contract will not have a material impact on its net tangible assets or earnings per share this financial year.
The company won a design contract for the vessels in December 2005. Subsequent modifications and a three-vessel order took the contract value to US$642 million by September 2008. The latest contract reflects non-recurring cost reductions from the first three vessels, as well as government-furnished equipment previously provided, ST Engineering said.
The 62-metre-long warships will be deployed off the Egyptian coast. They will be equipped with ship signature control technology, numerous combat systems and electronic sensors to provide them with anti- aircraft, anti-surface and electronic warfare capabilities, according to ST Engineering.
Last month, the company won a S$363 million maintenance contract from the Republic of Singapore Air Force.
SingTel – BT
Bharti-Zain deal edges towards finishing line
2 special purpose vehicles formed, in Singapore and the Netherlands
BHARTI AirTel has reportedly formed two special purpose vehicles (SPV), in the Netherlands and Singapore, for the acquisition of Zain's assets in South Africa.
India's Economic Times said that Bharti officials are expected to make their way to the Netherlands in the next few days to finalise this SPV arrangement.
SPVs are typically used to acquire and finance specific assets and companies tend to use them to bankroll large projects to avoid putting the entire firm at risk.
Beyond the establishment of these SPVs, the report said that Zain has also agreed to reimburse Bharti for the legal costs incurred for its ongoing dispute between its Nigerian unit and Econet Wireless Holdings.
This could remove the final hurdle in the acquisition talks between the two operators.
Bharti on Wednesday said that it had completed due diligence for its US$9 billion bid to acquire Zain Africa and the official paperwork for the deal is 'expected to be signed soon'.
This comes after a month of exclusive negotiations between the two parties. Once completed, Bharti, in which Singapore Telecommunications has a 32 per cent stake, will gain some 42 million mobile subscribers across 15 African markets.
Their combined operations will have a revenue base of nearly US$13 billion and Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) of around US$5 billion.
Bharti failed in its two previous attempts to expand to the African continent. The first opportunity surfaced in 2008 when it engaged in merger talks with South African telecommunications conglomerate the MTN Group but a deal could not be reached then.
Bharti and MTN entered into exclusive merger negotiations for a second time last year but the proposed US$24 billion cash plus share swap deal was eventually canned due to regulatory hiccups.
SingTel – BT
Bharti set to wrap up US$9b Zain Africa deal
(NEW DELHI) Bharti Airtel looked set to wrap up its US$9 billion deal to buy most of Kuwaiti telecom group Zain’s African assets, giving India’s top mobile operator a foothold in the frontier market in its third attempt.
Bharti, which failed twice to acquire African telecoms operator MTN Group, is desperate to expand in new markets, as cut-rate competition in its home turf – the world’s fastest growing – squeezes margins and clouds growth outlook.
Controlled by billionaire Sunil Bharti Mittal, who started his career selling bicycle parts in India, Bharti is battling newcomers such as Norway’s Telenor and Tata Teleservices, part owned by Japan’s NTT DoCoMo.
‘It’s a good deal because Africa is the last bit left among emerging markets. And Bharti gets access to a lot of synergies in value-added services,’ said Girish Trivedi, deputy director of the South Asia and Middle East technology team at consultancy Frost & Sullivan. ‘Imagine the time it would have taken them to build a leadership position in so many countries through greenfield expansion?’
Zain’s board approved the deal on Wednesday and the company expects to sign the deal in the next few days. Africa has already attracted global players such as Vodafone and France Telecom, while China Unicom, China’s No 2 mobile carrier is keen to participate in the privatisation of a Nigerian telecoms company.
Bharti, 32 per cent owned by Singapore Telecommunications, will also battle with MTN, with which it tried to seal a US$24 billion deal before tie-up talks collapsed in October.
Bharti is expected to make an announcement as the deadline for exclusive talks with Zain ended yesterday.
‘The reaction of the stock price reflects the deal being done at attractive financing terms. But how Bharti is going to benefit from it will only be known in the next 2-3 quarters,’ said Deepak Jasani, head of research at HDFC Securities.
Due diligence for the deal, the second-biggest overseas acquisition by an Indian buyer after Tata Steel’s US$13 billion purchase of Corus in 2007, has been completed successfully, Zain said on Wednesday.
Bharti, with 125 million subscribers, has thrived on low incomes and tariffs and a large rural population – characteristics shared by African nations – and is keen to replicate its Indian model in the 15 African countries where it is buying Zain’s assets.
But some analysts have said Bharti is paying a high price for the deal, with enterprise value of US$10.7 billion at around 10 times Ebitda, and may be a drag on the Indian firm’s earnings.
‘We can know whether the valuation was right only after some time. So yes, there are opportunities, but there are also mine-fields and pitfalls ahead. We have to see what comes first,’ Mr Jasani said.
The shares, valued at about US$26 billion, were the second-worst performer in the benchmark index in 2009. So far this year, the shares have lost more than 5 per cent.
Bharti would pay US$9 billion in cash to Zain, including US$700 million to be paid one year after the deal closes. Bharti will also assume US$1.7 billion debt on the target firm’s books.
Bharti said on Sunday it had secured US$8.3 billion in loans from a clutch of lenders, led by Standard Chartered, Barclays and State Bank of India. Banking sources said Bharti was getting an attractive interest rate of around 200 basis points over Libor.
Standard Chartered and Barclays were advising Bharti on the deal, while Zain was being advised by UBS. — Reuters