Author: kktan
March 2012
Results Announcement
- 13 Apr 12 : SPH (1H12)
STI = 3010.46 (+16.37)
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
HL Fin |
FY11 (Dec) |
22.65 |
12.00 |
$2.540 |
4.724% |
11.21 |
Interim 4ct ; Final 8ct |
|
SingPost |
FY11 (Mar) |
8.369 |
6.25 |
$1.020 |
6.127% |
12.19 |
Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct |
|
SPH |
FY11 (Aug) |
24 |
24.0 |
$3.920 |
6.122% |
16.33 |
Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + Special 8ct |
Note : From Mar-12, STI ETF Removed (Become SIP + <4% Yield) ; Added SIA Engg + HLFin (Both >4% Yield)
Aviation Services
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SATS |
FY11 (Mar) |
17.40 |
17.0 |
$2.490 |
6.827% |
14.31 |
Interim 5ct ; Final 6ct + Special 6ct |
|
SIA Engg |
FY11 (Mar) |
23.77 |
30.0 |
$4.030 |
7.444% |
16.95 |
Interim 6ct ; Final 14ct + Special 10ct |
|
ST Engg |
FY11 (Dec) |
17.28 |
15.5 |
$3.250 |
4.769% |
18.81 |
Interim 3ct ; Final 4ct + Special 8.5ct |
Note : SIA Engg & SATS Special Div are Observed to be Non-Recurring
Transport
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SBSTransit |
FY11 (Dec) |
11.89 |
5.9 |
$1.715 |
3.440% |
14.42 |
Interim 3.1ct ; Final 2.8ct |
|
ComfortDelGro |
FY11 (Dec) |
11.27 |
6.0 |
$1.560 |
3.846% |
13.84 |
Interim 2.7ct ; Final 3.3ct |
|
SMRT |
FY11 (Mar) |
10.6 |
8.5 |
$1.735 |
4.899% |
16.37 |
Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.75ct |
TELCO
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SingTel |
FY11 (Mar) |
24.02 |
25.8 |
$3.150 |
8.190% |
13.11 |
Interim 6.8ct ; Final 9ct + Special 10ct |
|
M1 |
FY11 (Dec) |
18.1 |
14.5 |
$2.540 |
5.709% |
14.03 |
Interim 6.6ct ; Final 7.9ct |
|
StarHub |
FY11 (Dec) |
18.40 |
20 |
$3.100 |
6.452% |
16.85 |
Q1 5ct ; Q2 5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct |
Funds / Infrastructure
|
Stock |
Period |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
NAV |
Div Breakdown |
|
SPAus |
1H – Sep11 |
A4.0 (Gross) |
$1.400 |
7.474% |
A$0.89 |
2H11 A4.0ct ; 1H11 A4.0ct |
|
MIIF |
2H – Dec11 |
2.75 |
$0.575 |
9.565% |
$0.83 |
1H11 2.75ct ; 2H11 2.75ct |
* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.3080) fm Yahoo
NOTES :
- Mkt Price is as on 30-Mar-12
- ST Engg : 1H11 (Jun) – 3ct ; 2H11 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 8.5ct (Special)
- MIIF : 1H11 (Jun) – 2.75ct ; 2H11 (Dec) – 2.75ct
- ComfortDelgro : Q411 (Dec) – 3.3ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 2.7ct
- SBSTransit : Q411 (Dec) – 2.8ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 3.1ct
- StarHub : FY12 Div Guidance – 5ct/Q
- StarHub : Q411 (Dec ) – 5ct ; Q311 (Sep) – 5ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 5ct ; Q111 (Mar) – 5ct
- SingPost : Q312 (Dec11) – 1.25ct ; Q212 (Sep11) – 1.25ct ; Q112 (Jun11) – 1.25ct
- M1 : 2H11 (Dec) – Final 7.9ct ; 1H11 (Jun) – Interim 6.6ct
- SATSvcs : Q212 (Sep11) – Interim 5ct
- SingTel : 1H12 (Sep11) – Interim 6.8ct
- SMRT : Q212 (Sep11) – Interim 1.75ct
- SPH : 2H11 (Aug) – 9ct (Final) + 8ct (Special) ; 1H11 (Feb) – 7ct
- SPAus : 2H11 (Mar11) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7721ct (after tax) ; 1H11 (Sep10) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7772ct (after tax)
StarHub – Kim Eng
Five stars for good performance
Still a star performer. StarHub has outperformed its two peers, up 5% since early this year. However, it is still a good story for 2012, with potential catalysts from lower subscriber acquisition costs as Android devices appear to be gaining ground. In addition, we expect the new Vodafone roaming alliance to boost ARPUs. TP raised to $3.33, based on target yield of 6% (pegged to the average yield of the top 15 dividend stocks with market cap over $1b under our coverage).
Android gaining ground. We are seeing more Android smartphone users these days. StarHub confirmed that non-Apple handset sales have risen in the last few months. As they break even faster than iPhones, this should have a positive impact on subscriber acquisition costs. It remains to be seen whether this trend will last but we are hopeful as iPhones appear to have lost some lustre.
Vodafone roaming alliance should boost ARPUs. StarHub's new exclusive roaming agreement with Vodafone should help boost its corporate business, given that many multinational corporations have global enterprise arrangements with Vodafone. Typically, ARPU is higher for corporate accounts as executives tend to roam more and use more data services on their mobile phones than consumers.
Yield attractive even without capital management. Capital management is unlikely until year-end, as StarHub is still determining the impact the raised mobile coverage requirements will have on capex, especially the one on outdoor coverage (>99% including any open spaces vs >95% excluding open spaces). Nevertheless, we believe the new requirements will not add substantially to existing capex.
Not going crazy over BPL. StarHub is unlikely to participate in the bid for the 2013-16 seasons for the Barclays Premier League if the price escalates beyond its liking.
Buyback sustained despite higher share price. For the 2011 mandate year, StarHub repurchased 2.1m shares, above 2010's 2m shares, although average cost was 10% higher at $2.87 (up to $2.91). Since the share buyback is another way to enhance shareholder value, other than paying good dividends, the higher average cost is a firm endorsement of the stock's value despite the outperformance.
SingTel – BT
mio TV to air 3,200 hours of 2012 Olympics
Broadcast to be over 13 channels and is free for subscribers
SINGTEL’S coup of wresting ESPN Star Sports (ESS) from StarHub in 2009 might make this year a gold-medal one for the telco. Its pay TV operator, mio TV, will air more than 3,200 hours of the London 2012 Olympic Games on 13 channels because of its partnership with ESS. ESS had won the broadcast rights for London 2012 in a blanket deal for 22 countries in Asia.
This unprecedented scale of coverage will be free for all mio TV subscribers. Of the 13 channels, 10 will be dedicated to high-definition screening of the games which start in July. The other three – ESPN, Star Sports and ESPNEWS – will also provide Olympic coverage.
SingTel announced this yesterday, alongside its five-year sponsorship of the Singapore team at major Singapore National Olympic Council-sanctioned games, including the ones at London 2012.
‘We genuinely believe that the Singapore sports viewer is growing in his needs. It’s not just limited to where Singapore is playing. This trend is only going to grow,’ said Manu Sawhney, managing director of ESS.
He noted that during the 2008 Beijing Olympic games, TV viewership in Asia soared 60 per cent. ‘We expect whatever viewership figures we had last time to be blown through the roof.’
The last time the Olympic games aired in Singapore, it was rival operator StarHub that dominated the broadcast, with six channels. Other things were different in 2008, too. Then, ESS had been a partner of StarHub’s before its surprise switch to mio TV in 2009.
This time around, StarHub will not be airing any of the ‘live’ competitions. Instead, its coverage will take place through CNN’s highlights and interviews, as well as BBC World News’ coverage of results and Olympic-related material such as the Olympic Torch Relay.
MediaCorp, when contacted yesterday, declined to reveal broadcast plans but said that it is ‘planning for coverage beyond TV’ and will reveal more when the ‘full communication package is ready’.
‘Bearing in mind that there is going to be so much on display, we certainly are hoping for a huge spike in the number of people who are watching this, compared to previous Olympic games,’ said Allen Lew, SingTel CEO Singapore.
SingTel is moving as fast as it can to make hay before the horizon is darkened by cross-carriage laws that were mandated last year. Under this law, any exclusive content acquired after March 2010 has to be made available to a subscriber of a rival operator upon request.
For London 2012, SingTel’s partnership with ESS still leaves StarHub out in the cold because it was inked in 2009, before the cross-carriage mandate kicked in.
Even so, the fallout for StarHub over its lack of Olympic games coverage will be muted, some believe. ‘It’s hard to imagine significant customer movement,’ said Nomura analyst Sachin Gupta. ‘Olympics will be over a few weeks and similar to the Barclays Premier League, we may see some switching, or more customers could opt for two set-top boxes. In any case, customer’s wallet share will be redistributed.’
SingTel’s multi-year agreement with ESPN Star Sports, however, expires in mid-2013, BT understands.
After that, any exclusive deal will be at the mercy of the cross-carriage law. Even as mio TV’s ESPN advantage comes up for renegotiation, so will its chokehold on the Barclays Premier League which also expires next year.
‘The Premier League will decide how they want to sell the rights for this, whether it will be an auction like last time or (by) some other means,’ said Mr Lew yesterday. ‘Traditionally, they would do it about 12-15 months before the rights expire so we expect something about the process to be announced towards Q3 or Q4 this year.’
SATS – BT
SATS acting CEO named president, CEO
Tan Chuan Lye’s promotion takes effect from April 1 and comes after an eight-month global search
AFTER an eight-month global search, SATS Ltd has confirmed acting CEO Tan Chuan Lye as its president and CEO with effect from April 1.
In an announcement yesterday, SATS said it had decided to retain and promote Mr Tan ‘following a rigorous selection process involving a number of outstanding internal and external candidates for this role’.
Mr Tan took over as acting CEO and executive vice-president, food solutions, of SATS, following the sudden and unexplained departure of previous CEO and president, Clement Woon, in July last year.
Mr Woon, who came to the company in November 2007 after a 10-year stint in Switzerland with spatial surveying company Leica Geosystems AG, cited his decision to ‘pursue personal interests’ at the time.
Under Mr Woon’s stewardship, SATS broke away from its erstwhile parent Singapore Airlines (which owned 81 per cent of SATS) and created its own branding and identity. Instead of focusing only on the aviation business which was highly cyclical, it decided to diversify its business. In 2009, the company acquired Singapore Food Industries, a food manufacturer and supplier.
Mr Tan is himself a seasoned veteran of the aviation industry, and has been with SATS since 1976.
In a career spanning 35 years, he has held managerial and key decision-making positions in SIA Ground Services and SATS Airport Services, and was responsible for both SIA and SATS’ Changi Terminal 2 operations. He was appointed senior vice-president for catering in 2000 and was promoted to executive vice-president, food solutions, in 2009 to oversee and grow SATS’ aviation and non-aviation food businesses.
SATS chairman Edmund Cheng said the company was pleased to select Mr Tan to helm it.
‘Since he assumed the position of acting CEO in July 2011, Chuan Lye has demonstrated strong leadership capabilities and was ably supported by his management team and staff,’ he said. ‘Over the years, he has been closely involved in growing and transforming SATS to what it is today.’
SATS reported a 25.4 per cent drop in net profit to $38.2 million for the third quarter to end-December 2011 due to rising costs, falling contribution from joint ventures and associates, and a weaker US dollar.
For the nine months ended December 2011, SATS posted net profit of $120.8 million, down 14.1 per cent from $140.7 million a year earlier.
In October 2011, SATS announced the disposal of Daniels Group in the UK, recognising a loss on disposal of $5.5 million.
The company now faces a second competitor at Changi with the emergence of US-based Aircraft Service International Group, while the aviation sector is flying into turbulence due to high fuel costs and flattish yields.
Its Singapore International Cruise Terminal venture, where it has a 60 per cent stake in a partnership with Creuers Cruise Services holding the remaining share, is not expected to be profitable until the end of next year.
SATS – BT
SATS acting CEO named president, CEO
Tan Chuan Lye’s promotion takes effect from April 1 and comes after an eight-month global search
AFTER an eight-month global search, SATS Ltd has confirmed acting CEO Tan Chuan Lye as its president and CEO with effect from April 1.
In an announcement yesterday, SATS said it had decided to retain and promote Mr Tan ‘following a rigorous selection process involving a number of outstanding internal and external candidates for this role’.
Mr Tan took over as acting CEO and executive vice-president, food solutions, of SATS, following the sudden and unexplained departure of previous CEO and president, Clement Woon, in July last year.
Mr Woon, who came to the company in November 2007 after a 10-year stint in Switzerland with spatial surveying company Leica Geosystems AG, cited his decision to ‘pursue personal interests’ at the time.
Under Mr Woon’s stewardship, SATS broke away from its erstwhile parent Singapore Airlines (which owned 81 per cent of SATS) and created its own branding and identity. Instead of focusing only on the aviation business which was highly cyclical, it decided to diversify its business. In 2009, the company acquired Singapore Food Industries, a food manufacturer and supplier.
Mr Tan is himself a seasoned veteran of the aviation industry, and has been with SATS since 1976.
In a career spanning 35 years, he has held managerial and key decision-making positions in SIA Ground Services and SATS Airport Services, and was responsible for both SIA and SATS’ Changi Terminal 2 operations. He was appointed senior vice-president for catering in 2000 and was promoted to executive vice-president, food solutions, in 2009 to oversee and grow SATS’ aviation and non-aviation food businesses.
SATS chairman Edmund Cheng said the company was pleased to select Mr Tan to helm it.
‘Since he assumed the position of acting CEO in July 2011, Chuan Lye has demonstrated strong leadership capabilities and was ably supported by his management team and staff,’ he said. ‘Over the years, he has been closely involved in growing and transforming SATS to what it is today.’
SATS reported a 25.4 per cent drop in net profit to $38.2 million for the third quarter to end-December 2011 due to rising costs, falling contribution from joint ventures and associates, and a weaker US dollar.
For the nine months ended December 2011, SATS posted net profit of $120.8 million, down 14.1 per cent from $140.7 million a year earlier.
In October 2011, SATS announced the disposal of Daniels Group in the UK, recognising a loss on disposal of $5.5 million.
The company now faces a second competitor at Changi with the emergence of US-based Aircraft Service International Group, while the aviation sector is flying into turbulence due to high fuel costs and flattish yields.
Its Singapore International Cruise Terminal venture, where it has a 60 per cent stake in a partnership with Creuers Cruise Services holding the remaining share, is not expected to be profitable until the end of next year.