Author: kktan

 

July 2011

Results Announcement

  • 12 Jul 11 : SPH (Q311)
  • 14 Jul 11 : M1 (Q211)
  • 4 Aug 11 : StarHub (Q211)

 

 

STI = 3117.37 (-33.91)

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SPH

FY10 (Aug)

31

27

$3.95

6.835%

12.74

Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 11ct (Special)

SingPost

FY11 (Mar)

8.369

6.25

$1.13

5.556%

13.44

Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct

STI ETF

Dec-10

3.5

$3.19

2.194%

Dec10 3.5ct ; Jun10 3ct

SATS

FY11 (Mar)

17.4

17

$2.63

6.464%

15.11

Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Interim 5ct

ST Engg

FY10 (Dec)

16.21

14.55

$3.02

4.818%

18.63

Final 4ct + 7.55ct (Special) ; Interim 3ct

Transport

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SBSTransit

FY10 (Dec)

17.63

8.80

$1.90

4.632%

10.78

Interim 4.5ct ; Final 4.3ct

ComfortDelGro

FY10 (Dec)

10.95

5.50

$1.42

3.873%

12.97

Interim 2.7ct ; Final 2.8ct

SMRT

FY11 (Mar)

10.6

8.5

$1.96

4.348%

18.44

Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.75ct

TELCO

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SingTel

FY11 (Mar)

24.02

25.8

$3.17

8.517%

13.20

Interim 6.8ct ; Final 9ct + Special 10ct

M1

FY10 (Dec)

17.5

17.5

$2.59

6.757%

14.80

Interim 6.3ct ; Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct

StarHub

FY10 (Dec)

15.34

20

$2.79

7.168%

18.19

Q1 5ct ; Q2 5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct

Funds / Infrastructure

Stock

Period

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

NAV

Div Breakdown

SPAus

2H11 (Mar-11)

A4.0 (Gross)

$1.215

8.611%

A$0.89

2H11 A4.0ct ; 1H11 A4.0ct

MIIF

2H – Dec10

1.50

$0.565

5.310%

$0.82

2H10 1.5ct ; 1H10 1.5ct

* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.3078) fm Yahoo

NOTES :

  • Mkt Price is as on 11-Jul-11
  • SATSvcs : Q411 (Mar11) – Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 5ct
  • SPAus : 2H11 (Mar11) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7721ct (after tax) ; 1H11 (Sep10) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7772ct (after tax)
  • SingTel : 2H11 (Mar11) – Final 9ct + Special 10ct ; 1H11 (Sep10) – Interim 6.8ct
  • StarHub : Q111 (Mar) – 5ct
  • SingPost : Q411 (Mar11) – 2.5ct ; Q311 (Dec10) – 1.25ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – 1.25ct ; Q111 (Jun10) – 1.25ct
  • SMRT : Q411 (Mar) – Final 6.75ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 1.75ct
  • SPH : 1H11 (Feb) – 7ct
  • MIIF : 2H10 (Dec) – 1.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – 1.5ct
  • ST Engg : 2H10 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 7.55ct (Special) ; 1H10 (Jun) – 3ct
  • ComfortDelgro : Q410 (Dec) – 2.8ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 2.7ct
  • SBSTransit : Q410 (Dec) – 4.3ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 4.5ct
  • StarHub : FY11 Div Guidance – 5ct/Q
  • M1 : 2H10 (Dec) – Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – Interim 6.3ct

 

July 2011

Results Announcement

  • 12 Jul 11 : SPH (Q311)
  • 14 Jul 11 : M1 (Q211)
  • 4 Aug 11 : StarHub (Q211)

 

 

STI = 3117.37 (-33.91)

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SPH

FY10 (Aug)

31

27

$3.95

6.835%

12.74

Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 11ct (Special)

SingPost

FY11 (Mar)

8.369

6.25

$1.13

5.556%

13.44

Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct

STI ETF

Dec-10

3.5

$3.19

2.194%

Dec10 3.5ct ; Jun10 3ct

SATS

FY11 (Mar)

17.4

17

$2.63

6.464%

15.11

Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Interim 5ct

ST Engg

FY10 (Dec)

16.21

14.55

$3.02

4.818%

18.63

Final 4ct + 7.55ct (Special) ; Interim 3ct

Transport

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SBSTransit

FY10 (Dec)

17.63

8.80

$1.90

4.632%

10.78

Interim 4.5ct ; Final 4.3ct

ComfortDelGro

FY10 (Dec)

10.95

5.50

$1.42

3.873%

12.97

Interim 2.7ct ; Final 2.8ct

SMRT

FY11 (Mar)

10.6

8.5

$1.96

4.348%

18.44

Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.75ct

TELCO

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SingTel

FY11 (Mar)

24.02

25.8

$3.17

8.517%

13.20

Interim 6.8ct ; Final 9ct + Special 10ct

M1

FY10 (Dec)

17.5

17.5

$2.59

6.757%

14.80

Interim 6.3ct ; Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct

StarHub

FY10 (Dec)

15.34

20

$2.79

7.168%

18.19

Q1 5ct ; Q2 5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct

Funds / Infrastructure

Stock

Period

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

NAV

Div Breakdown

SPAus

2H11 (Mar-11)

A4.0 (Gross)

$1.215

8.611%

A$0.89

2H11 A4.0ct ; 1H11 A4.0ct

MIIF

2H – Dec10

1.50

$0.565

5.310%

$0.82

2H10 1.5ct ; 1H10 1.5ct

* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.3078) fm Yahoo

NOTES :

  • Mkt Price is as on 11-Jul-11
  • SATSvcs : Q411 (Mar11) – Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 5ct
  • SPAus : 2H11 (Mar11) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7721ct (after tax) ; 1H11 (Sep10) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7772ct (after tax)
  • SingTel : 2H11 (Mar11) – Final 9ct + Special 10ct ; 1H11 (Sep10) – Interim 6.8ct
  • StarHub : Q111 (Mar) – 5ct
  • SingPost : Q411 (Mar11) – 2.5ct ; Q311 (Dec10) – 1.25ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – 1.25ct ; Q111 (Jun10) – 1.25ct
  • SMRT : Q411 (Mar) – Final 6.75ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 1.75ct
  • SPH : 1H11 (Feb) – 7ct
  • MIIF : 2H10 (Dec) – 1.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – 1.5ct
  • ST Engg : 2H10 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 7.55ct (Special) ; 1H10 (Jun) – 3ct
  • ComfortDelgro : Q410 (Dec) – 2.8ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 2.7ct
  • SBSTransit : Q410 (Dec) – 4.3ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 4.5ct
  • StarHub : FY11 Div Guidance – 5ct/Q
  • M1 : 2H10 (Dec) – Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – Interim 6.3ct

 

STEng – BT

ST Marine makes play for OSV market

With oil industry demand rising, it’s chasing jobs, seeking more yard space

ST Marine is joining its more high-profile yard brethren in the black gold rush, in pursuit of contracts to build offshore support vessels (OSVs).

As the business division of ST Engineering that is known more for its military contracts turns its attention to the oil bonanza, its president Ng Sing Chan has his hands full these days, simultaneously courting the offshore market and looking for more yard space.

‘I’m doing things in parallel – chasing jobs, looking for additional capacity,’ Mr Ng told BT.

While he is toying with the idea of running a project in parallel in two existing sites or buying a site from someone else, he has ruled out greenfield sites because they will take too long to get up and running.

‘By the time you finish infrastructure development, the market could be changed,’ said Mr Ng.

The urgency is, in a way, a proxy for how quickly the tide is turning in favour of the offshore industry, with demand rising first for oil rigs in the last quarter of 2010 and trickling down the chain to the OSVs involved in the dozens of operations spawned by drilling activity.

While yards under the Sembcorp Marine and Keppel banners spent the last few quarters bagging big-digit deals for platform supply vessels and dive support construction vessels, ST Marine largely flew under the radar where commercial vessels were concerned.

‘When the rest of the Singapore yards were building jack-ups and semisubmersible rigs and floating production, storage and offloading vessels, ST Marine was not,’ Mr Ng said.

Over the last decade, ST Marine has been more preoccupied with naval vessels, roll on/roll off carriers and – as part of a recent development – environmental services. But as drilling activity in deeper waters intensified, ST Marine began looking closer at the OSV market in 2008.

The approach paid off, too; by 2010, the business division crossed the $1 billion revenue mark for the first time, driven by its shipbuilding and ship repair segments.

Now, ST Marine is intent on making up for lost time.

‘We intend to be a player in every segment of the OSV market: anchor handling tug supply (AHTS) vessels, platform supply vessels, seismic research vessels. We have touched on every segment of the market, with the exception of the big construction support vessels,’ said Mr Ng.

The orders have already started coming in at a fast clip in the first half of the year. Its US shipyard (VT Halter Marine) won a contract to build an offshore tug; Swire Pacific Offshore Operations has ordered four AHTS vessels at one go; and it has a deal to convert an accommodation vessel to a multi-purpose offshore vessel.

The venture into new territory inherently implies uncharted waters, but ST Marine appears serious about wading into the OSV market, even if it means building up a track record from scratch.

One of its yards is currently doing something it has never done before: converting a rig into a mobile offshore production unit. The yard will have to extend the legs of the rig so that it can function in deeper waters.

‘It’s a first for us, but we’re confident we will do well. Does that mean that we’re now experts in jackups? No, not yet,’ said Mr Ng.

Dividend Stocks – BT

Dividend stocks: quality counts too

THERE has been a big buzz around dividend stocks since the last global financial meltdown as investors and funds start to see the importance of establishing a regular income source, especially when the going gets tough.

Moreover, with Singapore's population demographics reflecting a fast ageing population, dividend stocks also serve as an avenue to generate income to fund retirement especially for investors with weaker saving habits. However, are dividend stocks really such a god-send, or have they been over-hyped by financial media?

In general, analysts and investors ascribe a lower risk and volatility profile to dividend stocks due to their ability to generate regular streams of income that help bolster the ill-effects of a potential downturn.

But does this mean that dividend stocks are less likely than their lesser yielding peers to see price upswings due to their less volatile nature?

As a simple illustration, should one compare the basket of 30 Straits Times Index (STI) constituents with a basket of 30 dividend stocks, findings show that though both portfolios generated positive year-on-year price returns, the former reflected a higher annual return of 13.8 per cent as opposed to the 9.6 per cent registered by the dividend stock portfolio.

As such, based on the findings, it seems that dividend stocks tend to experience lower capital appreciation when compared to index stocks.

Having said that, the STI basket is made up of blue-chip quality counters that tend to be highly favoured by both institutions and layman investors alike.

Perhaps, if the comparison was drawn to a basket of lower cap counters, findings might have shown otherwise.

Now coming from a dividend perspective, dividend stocks triumphed over the STI basket with the former having a forecast consensus dividend yield average of 6.2 per cent in FY11 and 6.5 per cent in FY12 as compared to the latter's 3 per cent and 3.3 per cent for the respective financial years.

The findings are not surprising though investors should bear in mind that the STI portfolio has some dividend stocks, which would have given a slight lift to the basket's average yield.

Should the basket exclude dividend stocks entirely, the average dividend yield would have been even lower.

More pertinently, the dividend stock portfolio, unlike the STI one, is able to outstrip domestic inflation rates, which is cited as a key worry for investors today.

As such, investors who are unable to buy commodities like physical gold or property to hedge against inflation could perhaps turn to dividend stocks as their answer to a cost-efficient inflationary hedge.

But there are no fool-proof investments in this world. Just like any equity, dividend stocks are still susceptible to industry recessions and other sector-specific woes.

In fact, during the last recession, many dividend stocks such as real estate investment trusts (Reits) were not spared from the falling knife.

Admittedly, there was sunlight after the rain for investors that had the financial muscle to tide through the rough patch.

But for investors who were retrenched and needed the funds, liquidating dividend stocks such as Reits – and other non-dividend stocks – back then would have severely decimated their wealth.

All that said, it is an undeniable fact that all boats sink when the tide falls. But one of the better known ways to break the fall is to diversify.

After all, putting all your eggs in one basket is never a wise move, especially from a capital protection standpoint. And this holds true even for stocks with a more conservative risk profile, such as dividend stocks.

The key point to drive home is that whether one is planning for his retirement or is merely seeking extra side income, quality is still of paramount importance.

A high yielding stock does not always mean it is a good stock. Though a stock with sound fundamentals and with attractive yields to boot would be a wise investment option.

STEng – BT

ST Engg to expand presence in US as Europe growth slows

Singapore Technologies Engineering, Asia’s largest aircraft-maintenance company by sales, wants to expand its presence in the US to make up for slower growth in Europe.

Sales to Europe-based customers fell 17 per cent last year, the only of its four geographic regions to post a decline, the Singapore-based company said in its earnings statement for 2010. Revenue from US customers increased 6.4 per cent, it said.

‘We are not a big player in the US, so there is lots of room to grow,’ said chief executive officer Tan Pheng Hock in an interview in Singapore on Monday. ‘Growth in Europe is still a little hard, short-term wise, especially when the outlook in Europe is still negative.’

European leaders are attempting to fix the region’s sovereign debt crisis. Standard & Poor’s said on Monday that the effort to pull Greece back from the brink with a rollover plan serving as the basis for talks between investors and governments would qualify as a distressed exchange and prompt a ‘selective default’ rating.

US manufacturing unexpectedly expanded at a faster pace in June, a sign the industry is rebounding after shortages of parts and components from Japan slowed production. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index rose to 55.3 last month from 53.5 in May, according to data released last week. Economists estimated the index would drop to 52, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Figures greater than 50 signal expansion.

ST Engineering’s sales to European customers dropped to 4.8 per cent of its revenue in 2010 from 6.3 per cent in the previous year, while those from US clients were little changed at 24.2 per cent from 24.5 per cent, it said in the statement. Revenue from Asian companies made up 70 per cent of its overall sales, up from 68.3 per cent in 2009, it said.

‘We need to find the right niche to get into’ for the US market, Mr Tan said after speaking at the Future Global 100 Initiative forum in Singapore.

ST Engineering shares dropped 12 per cent this year, compared with the 1.2 per cent decline in the Singapore benchmark Straits Times Index. — Bloomberg