Author: tfwee

 

SMRT – BT

SMRT Q2 net profit up 7.7%

Higher train ridership, as well as its rental and advertising business, helped to power SMRT Corp’s net profit up 7.7 per cent to $42.56 million for the second quarter ended Sept 30, 2008 compared with the same period a year ago.

Group revenue in Q2 grew 15.1 per cent to $227.03 million as total operating expenses also rose 17.9 per cent to $181.14 million due to increased diesel and staff costs.

‘SMRT has continued to grow its profits in this quarter,’ said president and CEO Saw Phaik Hwa. ‘However, volatile energy costs, inflation and higher operational costs will have an impact on our performance.’

Earnings per share in the second quarter rose to 2.8 cents from 2.6 cents year-on-year.

For the first half ended Sept 30, 2008, net profit rose 7.0 per cent to $82.87 million. Interim group revenue was 13.1 per cent higher at $442.97 million.

Earnings per share for the first half was 5.5 cents, up from 5.1 cent in the corresponding period. An interim ordinary dividend of 1.75 cents per share tax-exempt has been declared.

October 2008

Results Announcement

  • 10 Oct 08 : SPH (FY08) – EPS 27ct ; Div 19ct (todate 27ct)
  • 17 Oct 08 : M1 (Q308) – EPS 3.8ct (todate 12.7ct)
  • 30 Oct 08: SingPost (Q208) – EPS 1.943ct (todate 3.993ct) ; Div 1.25ct (todate 2.5ct)
  • 31 Oct 08 : SMRT (Q209) – EPS 2.8ct (todate 5.5ct) ; Div 1.75ct
  • 4 Nov 08 : SFI (Q308)
  • 12 Nov 08 (AM) : MIIF
  • 12 Nov 08 (AM) : Singtel
  • 12 Nov 08 : SBSTransit
  • 13 Nov 08 : ComfortDelgro
  • 20 Nov 08 : SPAus (1H09)

STI = 1794.20 (-7.71)

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SPH

FY087 : Aug

27.0

S$3.20

8.438%

11.85

Interim 8ct ; Final 9ct + 10ct (Special)

SingPost

FY08 : Mar

6.25

S$0.705

8.865%

9.08

Q1 1.25ct ; Q2 1.25ct ; Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct

Sing Food

FY07 : Dec

5.0

S$0.885

5.650%

14.51

Interim 1.8ct ; Final 3.2ct

STEng

FY07 : Dec

16.88

S$2.30

7.339%

13.57

Final 4ct + 10.88ct (Special) ; Interim 2ct

Transport

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SBSTransit

FY07 : Dec

17.25

S$1.62

10.648%

9.90

Interim 6ct ; Special 8ct ; Final 3.25ct

ComfortDelgro

FY07 : Dec

10.15

S$1.19

8.529%

11.09

Interim 3.125ct + Special 3.375 ; Final 3ct + Special 1.5ct

SMRT

FY08 : Mar

7.75

S$1.54

5.032%

15.56

Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.0ct
TELCO

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SingTel

FY08 : Mar

12.5

S$2.43

5.144%

9.76

Interim 5.6ct ; Final 6.9ct

M1

FY07 : Dec

15.4

S$1.30

11.846%

7.03

Interim 2.5ct + 4.6ct (Capital Reduction) ; Final 8.3ct

StarHub

FY07 : Dec

16.0

S$2.38

6.723%

12.71

Q1 3.5ct ; Q2 4.0ct ; Q3 4.0ct ; Q4 4.5ct
Funds / Infrastructure

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

NAV

Div Breakdown

SPAus

2H : Mar-08

A5.6225

S$1.06

10.389%

A$1.08 (NTA)

2H A5.6225ct ; 1H A5.6142ct @ 1.2585

MIIF

1H : Jun-08

4.25

S$0.39

21.795%

$1.25

1H 4.25ct

MacCookPSF

FY09 : Jun

A1.75 (Gross)

S$0.295

23.238%

A$0.762 (NTA)

Q408 A2.31ct @ 1.3092 ; Q308 A2.31 @ 1.2525 ; Q208 A2.31ct @ 1.2485 ; Q108 A2.31ct @ 1.3144

* SPAus and MacCookPSF DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (0.9793) fm Yahoo

NOTES :

  • Mkt Price is as on 31-Oct-08
  • SMRT : Q209 (Sep08) – Interim 1.75ct
  • SingPost : Q209 (Sep08) – 1.25ct ; Q109 (Jun08) – 1.25ct
  • SPH : 2H08 (Aug) – 9ct + 10ct (Special) ; 1H08 (Feb) – 8ct
  • ComfortDelgro : Q208 (Jun) – 2.6ct
  • SBSTransit : Q208 (Jun) – 3ct
  • MIIF : 1H08 (Jun) – 4.25ct
  • ST Engg : Q208 (Jun) – 3ct
  • StarHub : Q208 (Jun) – 4.5ct ; Q108 (Mar) – 4.5ct
  • Sing Food : Q208 (Jun) – 1.8ct
  • M1 : 1H08 (Jun) – Interim 6.2ct
  • MacCookPSF : FY09 (Jun) – A1.75ct (Gross ie. before with-holding tax) / Quarter ; Source : SGX
  • MacCookPSF : Q408 (Jun08) A2.31ct @ 1.3092 ; Q308 (Mar08) A2.31ct @ 1.2525 ; Q208 (Dec07) A2.31ct @ 1.2485 ; Q108 (Sep07) – A2.625ct (Gross) / A2.31ct (After With-hldg Tax)
  • SPAus : 2H08 (Mar08) – A5.788ct (before tax) / A5.6225ct (after tax) ; 1H08 (Sep07) – A5.776ct (before tax) / A5.6142ct (after tax)
  • SingTel : Q408 (Mar) – Final 6.9ct ; Q208 (Sep07) – Interim 5.6ct

SingPost – CIMB

Still resilient

In line. 2Q09 core earnings of S$38.8m (+11.4% yoy) were in line with consensus and our estimates. 2Q09 dividend of 1.25 cts/share also met our forecasts.

2Q09 sales +4.1% yoy to S$120.7m driven by: +2.8% mail, +6.4% logistics and +8.6% retail. Growth in logistics growth was from Speedpost, vPOST shipping transactions, warehouse, fulfilment and distribution. Retail growth was driven by financial services and agency fees. SingPost’s rental and property-related income increased by 39% to S$8.2m, driven by SingPost Centre’s higher rental income.

Focused on cost management. Labour and volume-related expenses, which accounted for a large chunk of total opex, increased by 7.2% yoy and 4.0% yoy respectively.

Gearing not a concern. The group has S$300m worth of bonds due in 2013. Cost of funding is at 3.13%. There is no financing concern as there is no rollover date in the short-term. We deem our forecast dividend yields as safe.

Competition outlook. The Reference Access Offer document has been finalised by the IDA. SingPost expects margin pressure due to the liberalisation of the basic mail market and new entrants. We have included the impact of the liberalisation in our forecasts. The potential unlocking of value of Singapore Post Centre could be a catalyst.

Upgrade to Outperform with lowered DDM-derived target price of S$0.94 (previous: S$1.20). Our FY09-11 estimates remains intact. However we align our cost of equity assumptions with house rates, resulting in higher cost of equity assumption of 8.8% (previous: 7.2%). Given that the stock price has fallen by more than 40% in the past one month, thanks to weak market sentiment, we believe that it is timely to upgrade SingPost as it continues to offer investors defensive earnings and dividend yield of more than 10%.

SingPost – BT

SingPost Q2 profit down 5.6%

SingPost Group on Thursday said net profit declined 5.6 per cent to $37.4 million in its second quarter ended September 2008. Excluding one-off items, underlying net profit was higher by 11.4 per cent at $38.7 million.

The group registered a 4.1 per cent growth in revenue to $120.7 million in the second quarter, with improved performances across all its three business segments

Mail revenue grew 2.8 per cent to $91.7 million, from higher contributions from its business lines – domestic mail, international mail, hybrid mail and the philatelic business.

Logistics revenue was up 6.4 per cent to $18.8 million, on growth in its Speedpost and vPOST shipping transactions and warehousing, fulfilment and distribution. During the

Retail business posted an 8.6 per cent increase in revenue to S$16.6 million, driven mainly by continued growth in financial services, particularly remittances. The group’s rental and property-related income for the second quarter increased by 39.3 per cent to $8.2 million, on the back of higher rental income from Singapore Post Centre.

SingTel – UBS

Reflecting lower emerging market growth expectations