Author: tfwee

 

SPH – DBS

Operating earnings firm as expected

Comment on Results

Results were in line with expectations as EBIT rose 20% yoy to S$127m on topline growth of 15% to S$315m. Top line growth was led by an 8% increase in newspaper and magazine revenue whilst a S$16m revenue recognition from Sky@Eleven helped property revenue rise 70% yoy.

Investment income dipped by 67% yoy due to a) a more volatile equities market and b) higher dividend income from M1 and capital reduction exercise by Starhub in 1Q07 last year.

Overall bottom line growth was just 1% to S$112m due to lower investment income.

Recommendation

SPH’s core newspaper operations continue to do well, with display and classified revenue posting a combined yoy growth of 10.2% (including magazines 10.5%), Revenue
contribution from Sky@Eleven of S$16.1m was slightly below expectations compared to S$71m contribution in 4Q07 but property development is inherently lumpy so we are comfortable with our full year forecasts at this time (of S$228.6m revenue).

Maintain BUY, TP S$5.80. We like SPH as a proxy for Singapore’s strong economy and also as a defensive play in this current volatile environment. Yield is attractive at 7% net.

SPH – BT

Paragon in $82m facelift, expansion

SPH investment to yield contemporary facade, more retail, commercial space

THERE will be a new look for Paragon shopping centre come October. The Orchard Road mall will get a $45 million makeover – to update its building facade and increase retail space.

The facelift will begin this month, and is expected to be completed in October.

In addition, the commercial space above its retail podium will be expanded – at a cost of $37 million, including the payment of land premium. This is scheduled to be completed by end-2008.

The total cost of the facade makeover and the addition of commercial space is $82 million.

Singapore Press Holdings, which owns and manages the prime retail and office complex, says that the makeover is part of Paragon’s continuous efforts to enhance its retail environment and shopping experience for customers.

And shoppers need not fret: Paragon will remain open and operate as it normally does during the renovation period.

The shopping centre’s current glass and granite facade cladding will make way for a ‘contemporary yet elegant’ look with the installation of pop-out glass boxes.

They will be made of multi-faceted layers of aluminium panels and fritted glass with in-built energy-saving LED lights.

The new three-dimensional facade will comprise multiple transparent, glazed and volumetric external shop-fronts installed above the walkway level.

Five duplexes of designer stores facing Orchard Road will front the mall and each will see its shop front increase by three times the current height. ‘At the busy intersection of Orchard Road and Bideford Road, a luxury brand’s flagship store will enjoy a looming five storeys of shopfront starting from ground floor, providing a dramatic visual interest at this significant landmark junction,’ said SPH.

Paragon’s renovation and higher concentration of sophisticated designer stores are in line with the transformation of Orchard Road into a shopper’s paradise for the increasing number of well-heeled international visitors coming to Singapore.

‘The design is also prompted by luxury brand retailers looking for more space to expand and build their signature flagship stores and an opportunity to do something different,’ said Linda Kwan, general manager of Paragon.

‘Paragon’s facade, when expanded forward by four metres towards the Orchard Road pedestrian walkway and spanning 115 metres in total length, will provide these tenants with significant visibility and brand expression.’

The facade project is undertaken by DP Architects, which also oversaw the integration of Paragon and the former Promenade into a single shopping mall in 2003.

There will be minor upgrading works within Paragon, including the addition of new balustrades for a contemporary look.

Upon completion of the enhancement works, the nett lettable area at the retail podium will increase by about 11,600 square feet.

The commercial space above the Paragon retail podium will be expanded by another 29,000 square feet – with the construction of two more floors for medical and office use.

DBS – 3 Jan 2008

Clcik on the Table below for a bigger view,

SingTel – BT

SingTel to post exceptional gains for Q3

$118m in realised currency gains to offset $96m in divestment losses

SINGAPORE Telecommunications is set to report net exceptional gains for its third quarter ended Dec 31 as currency translation gains in its Australian unit offset divestment losses in a Taiwanese fixed-line phone company New Century InfoComm Tech Co (NCIC).

The local telco said yesterday that it will register an exceptional realised currency translation gain, net of hedging, of about $118 million for the October-December quarter.

This translation gain arose from SingTel’s wholly owned SingTel Australia Investment Ltd (SAI) paring its Australian dollar denominated share capital by A$323 million after receiving interest paid by Singapore Telecom Australia Investments Pty Ltd.

SAI owns 100 per cent of Singapore Telecom Australia Investments, which in turn owns 100 per cent of SingTel Optus.

The translation gain represents the difference between the amount of share capital returned by SAI and the historical cost of investment in Singapore dollar terms to its shareholders.

Including the $84 million translation gain recorded in the first quarter ended June 30, 2007, SingTel’s total exceptional translation gain for the nine months to Dec 31 will add up to some $202 million.

But its third quarter ended Dec 31 will also face an exceptional loss of $96 million after it completed a share swap with Far EasTone Telecommunications Co (FET), in which SingTel agreed to exchange its entire shareholding in loss-making NICI for new FET shares.

SingTel announced yesterday that it has exchanged its 980.32 million shares in NCIC for 160.37 million new FET shares, which represent 3.98 per cent of the issued share capital of FET. The share swap agreement with FET was made on Aug 15.

On Dec 28, the market value of these new FET shares on the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation was NT$6.6 billion (S$294 million), net of transaction costs, based on the closing market price of NT$41.30 per share.

This was lower than the unaudited consolidated carrying value of the NCIC shares at $390 million based on the historical exchange rate, hence resulting in a disposal loss of $96 million. This includes $94 million from the release of foreign currency translation losses previously taken to reserves.

For the first half of this year, SingTel’s net profit rose 6.6 per cent year-on-year to $1.9 billion on the back of a 10.7 per cent gain in operating revenue to $7.3 billion.

The telco, which gets 74 per cent of its earnings from outside Singapore, benefited from the stronger Australian dollar and Indian rupee.

Its profit for the second quarter to Sept 30, which rose 3.3 per cent to $988 million, also received a lift from foreign currency gains.

December 2007

STI = 3482.30 (+36.48)

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SPH

FY07 – Aug

26.0

S$4.50

5.778%

14.06

Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 10ct (Special)

SingPost

FY07 : Mar

6.25

S$1.12

5.580%

15.36

Q1 1.25ct ; Q2 1.25ct ; Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct

Sing Food

FY06 : Dec

5.4

S$0.80

6.750%

13.56

Interim 2.2ct ; Final 3.2ct

Transport

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SBSTransit

FY06 : Dec

28.5

S$2.93

9.727%

15.85

Interim 5ct ; Final 6.5ct + Special 17ct

ComfortDelgro

FY06 : Dec

11.0

S$1.83

6.011%

15.51

Interim 3.125ct + Special 3.375 ; Final 3ct + Special 1.5ct

SMRT

FY07 : Mar

7.25

S$1.68

4.315%

18.88

Interim 1.5ct ; Final 5.75ct

TELCO

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SingTel

FY07 : Mar

20.6

S$4.00

5.150%

17.20

Interim 4.6ct ; Final 6.5ct + Special 9.5ct

M1

FY06 : Dec

13.3

S$1.90

7.000%

11.45

Interim 5.8ct ; Final 7.5ct

StarHub

FY06 : Dec

11.5

S$2.81

4.093%

15.97

Q1 2.5ct ; Q2 2.5ct ; Q3 3ct ; Q4 3.5ct

Funds / Infrastructure

Stock

Period

DPS ct

Price

Yield

NAV

Div Breakdown

SPAus

1H : Sep-07

A5.6142

S$1.55

9.170%

A$1.11 (NTA)

1H A5.6142ct @ 1.2585

MIIF

1H : Jun-07

4.15

S$0.985

8.426%

$1.19

1H 4.15ct

MacCookPSF

Q1 : Sep-07

A2.31

S$1.23

9.509%

A$1.06

Q108 A2.31ct @ 1.3144

* SPAus and MacCookPSF DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.2658) fm Yahoo

NOTES :

  • Mkt Price is as on 31-Dec-07
  • SPAus : 1H08 (Sep07) – A5.776ct (before tax) / A5.6142ct (after tax)
  • SBSTransit : Q307 (Sep) – 8ct ; Q207 (Jun) – 6ct
  • SingTel : Q208 (Sep07) – Interim 5.6ct
  • StarHub : Q307 (Sep) – 4ct ; Q207 (Jun) – 4ct ; Q107 (Mar) – 3.5ct
  • SingPost : Q208 (Sep) – 1.25ct ; Q108 (Jun) – 1.25ct
  • SMRT : Q208 (Sep07) – Interim 1.75ct
  • MacCookPSF : Q108 (Sep07) – A2.625ct (Gross) / A2.31ct (After With-hldg Tax)
  • Sing Food : Q307 (Sep) – 1.8ct
  • SPH : FY07 (Aug) – Final 9ct + Special 10ct ; Interim (Feb) 7ct
  • ComfortDelgro : Q207 (Jun) – Interim 3.35ct + Special 4.15ct
  • MIIF : 1H07 (Jun) – 4.15ct
  • ST Engg : Q207 (Jun) – 2ct
  • M1 : 1H07 (Jun) – Interim 2.5ct + Capital Reduction 4.6ct