Category: StarHub
TELCOs – OCBC
Mandatory cross-carriage from 01 Aug 11
Makes cross-carriage mandatory from 2 Jul 11. The MDA (Media Development Authority) has announced that Pay TV service providers will have to implement the cross-carriage measure from 2 Jul 11; this as it has gazetted the amendments to the Media Market Conduct Code 2010 (MMCC 2010) on 1 Jul, effectively brining closure to its extensive consultation process which started on 12 Mar 2010. In a nutshell, Pay TV providers will have to cross-carry each other’s content that is acquired or renewed on an exclusive basis; this also means that Pay TV customers will be able to watch all Pay TV content with their preferred operator and need not pay any extra fee for doing so.
Implementation of framework from 1 Aug 11. However, MDA has extended the implementation date of the cross carriage measure to 1 Aug 11 in consideration of the industry’s views that there was a need to put the necessary systems and infrastructure in place to certify the content security measures before implementing the measure. And to facilitate the implementation, MDA has also issued guidelines on the content security protection requirements on 1 Jul. Some of the key technical issues include the piping of exclusive content from one operator to another, the encryption and decryption of the content. Operational issues include subscription and billing, difficulty in individual pricing due to bundling practices, ownership of technical glitches etc.
But likely to be non-event for now. But we understand that the two main operators – SingTel and StarHub – have not signed any “qualified content” after the announcement of the mandate in Mar 2010 to date. As such, there will not be any content that needs to be made available for cross carriage as yet; this also means that the implementation of the cross-carriage measure is likely to be a non-event for them as well as consumers until the signing of the first exclusive content. Nevertheless, the cross-carriage mandate could still mean better deals for consumers in the future as Pay TV operators may not bid as aggressively for coveted content as before; rising content cost was also why MDA introduced the measure in the first place.
Content is still king. Having said that, we still believe that content is king and we do not foresee a sharp drop in content cost, as Pay TV operators will still want to “own” exclusive content; this as they will still be able to enjoy revenue from subscription and advertising. As we see this development as a long-term positive, we maintain our OVERWEIGHT rating on the sector.
TELCOs – BT
Pay-TV cross-carriage to start in August
FROM Aug 1, pay-TV operators here will have to offer their exclusive content to subscribers of competing operators.
The Media Development Authority’s (MDA) mandate, announced in March last year, will apply to any exclusive content that operators have acquired on or after March 12, 2010.
The newly-gazetted regulation means pay-TV operators must be able to make available this content within five days of request from the consumer, even if they belong to competitors.
This applies to ‘qualified content’, as spelled out by MDA in its Media Market Conduct Code. One of the definitions covers content acquired on an exclusive basis, not to that created by the TV provider. It also does not apply to content delivered over the Internet or mobile platforms
The qualified content shared must be cross-carried unmodified, and at the same price, terms and conditions as offered to a provider’s own subscribers.
Cross-carriage is aimed at eliminating the need for two pay-TV set-top boxes, reducing hassle for consumers as well as the costs involved in providing the requisite hardware for operators.
MDA announced the cross- carriage mandate in March last year after a fierce battle between StarHub and SingTel over the exclusive rights to broadcast the Barclays Premier League (BPL). SingTel was rumoured to have paid a king’s ransom of $300 million for the privilege, which subsequently saw its smaller subscriber base balloon 60 per cent as new users jumped on to watch the BPL.
After a two-month industry consultation, which drew wide- spread protests from content suppliers here, MDA decided to press on with its ruling, stating that cross-carriage would do away with anti-competition and stimulate service differentiation.
An MDA spokesman also pointed out that during the consultation, it found that exclusively acquired content was one of the most relied-on methods to populate service offerings by dominant providers.
The regulator decided, however, to delay implementation of cross-carriage by nine months to give the industry time to adjust to the new legislation.
MDA claims that since the introduction of the ruling, the pay-TV market has grown ‘significantly’, with retailers introducing 20 new channels, as well as new services brought to consumers.
MDA plans to review the ruling every three years, or as the industry requires.
One argument against cross- carriage came from the Cable and Satellite Broadcasting Association of Asia (Casbaa), which said such a practice would artificially suppress content prices and cause foreign media investments in the country to dry up.
TELCOs – BT
Pay-TV cross-carriage to start in August
FROM Aug 1, pay-TV operators here will have to offer their exclusive content to subscribers of competing operators.
The Media Development Authority’s (MDA) mandate, announced in March last year, will apply to any exclusive content that operators have acquired on or after March 12, 2010.
The newly-gazetted regulation means pay-TV operators must be able to make available this content within five days of request from the consumer, even if they belong to competitors.
This applies to ‘qualified content’, as spelled out by MDA in its Media Market Conduct Code. One of the definitions covers content acquired on an exclusive basis, not to that created by the TV provider. It also does not apply to content delivered over the Internet or mobile platforms
The qualified content shared must be cross-carried unmodified, and at the same price, terms and conditions as offered to a provider’s own subscribers.
Cross-carriage is aimed at eliminating the need for two pay-TV set-top boxes, reducing hassle for consumers as well as the costs involved in providing the requisite hardware for operators.
MDA announced the cross- carriage mandate in March last year after a fierce battle between StarHub and SingTel over the exclusive rights to broadcast the Barclays Premier League (BPL). SingTel was rumoured to have paid a king’s ransom of $300 million for the privilege, which subsequently saw its smaller subscriber base balloon 60 per cent as new users jumped on to watch the BPL.
After a two-month industry consultation, which drew wide- spread protests from content suppliers here, MDA decided to press on with its ruling, stating that cross-carriage would do away with anti-competition and stimulate service differentiation.
An MDA spokesman also pointed out that during the consultation, it found that exclusively acquired content was one of the most relied-on methods to populate service offerings by dominant providers.
The regulator decided, however, to delay implementation of cross-carriage by nine months to give the industry time to adjust to the new legislation.
MDA claims that since the introduction of the ruling, the pay-TV market has grown ‘significantly’, with retailers introducing 20 new channels, as well as new services brought to consumers.
MDA plans to review the ruling every three years, or as the industry requires.
One argument against cross- carriage came from the Cable and Satellite Broadcasting Association of Asia (Casbaa), which said such a practice would artificially suppress content prices and cause foreign media investments in the country to dry up.
StarHub – DMG
Price Hike for Cable TV
THE BUZZ
StarHub has announced an increase in the subscription rate for its cable TV subscribers by S$2/month with effect from 1 August.
OUR TAKE
A costlier viewing pleasure. Starhub will increase the subscription price of its basic cable TV service by S$2/mth (excluding GST) with effect from 1 Aug. Management reasoned the rate hike to rising content costs in recent years where it is no longer able to absorb the increase in overall programming costs. We are not entirely surprised by the move given that content cost has risen sharply worldwide making it difficult for pay-tv operators to continue subsiding viewers without further sacrificing margins. The last time StarHub raised its subscription fee for cable TV was back in Jul’07, by S$4/mth (before GST) for its basic group and value packs.
Content cost remains sticky. Starhub’s cost of services, which accounts for the largest component of its operating cost at 21% grew at a CAGR of 13% in FY07-FY10 versus the 5% CAGR in cable TV revenue. Content cost as a proportion of revenue has widened from 11.6% in FY07 to 15.1% in FY10 despite the loss of the Barclays Premier League (BPL) rights to Singtel in 2009 as StarHub added new channels and likely renewed exclusive content at terms that are more prohibitive in opinion.
Stronger cable TV revenue for FY11/12. The rate hike would raise cable TV revenue by 4-13% for FY11/12, all else being equal (cable TV subscribers maintaining their current viewing preference and packages). The price increase effectively bumps- up the monthly subscription by 5-8% depending on content tiers. Based on the last rate hike in 2007, cable TV revenue expanded 5% a quarter following the increase and 10.7% after 6 months on the back of a S$2-4/mth uplift in cable TV ARPUs. While there is always risk of customers down trading to cheaper packages, we expect the majority of viewers to retain their existing plans given that Starhub still offers the most compelling pay-tv content with about 170 channels offered currently.
Cross carriage ruling should see programming cost moderate over the longer-term. While content cost will likely remain a drag on cost over the medium term, the implementation of the cross carriage ruling (sharing of content) would remove the incentive for pay-tv providers to compete aggressively for popular content, potentially lowering programming cost over the longer-term.
Maintain NEUTRAL, DCF FV upgraded to S$2.90. As cable TV revenue contributes some 16% of StarHub’s total revenue, the rate hike would have the effect of raising our overall FY11/12 revenue forecasts by about 2%, and consequently our core earnings estimates by a smaller 0.8-1% as the price hike only partially offsets higher content cost. Our DCF FV on StarHub is raised slightly to RM2.90 (from S$2.80 previously) based on 9.5% WACC and TG of 1.5%. StarHub remains a NEUTRAL on concerns over NGNBN competitive headwinds with share price support coming from its generous dividend yield of over 7%.
StarHub – DMG
Price Hike for Cable TV
THE BUZZ
StarHub has announced an increase in the subscription rate for its cable TV subscribers by S$2/month with effect from 1 August.
OUR TAKE
A costlier viewing pleasure. Starhub will increase the subscription price of its basic cable TV service by S$2/mth (excluding GST) with effect from 1 Aug. Management reasoned the rate hike to rising content costs in recent years where it is no longer able to absorb the increase in overall programming costs. We are not entirely surprised by the move given that content cost has risen sharply worldwide making it difficult for pay-tv operators to continue subsiding viewers without further sacrificing margins. The last time StarHub raised its subscription fee for cable TV was back in Jul’07, by S$4/mth (before GST) for its basic group and value packs.
Content cost remains sticky. Starhub’s cost of services, which accounts for the largest component of its operating cost at 21% grew at a CAGR of 13% in FY07-FY10 versus the 5% CAGR in cable TV revenue. Content cost as a proportion of revenue has widened from 11.6% in FY07 to 15.1% in FY10 despite the loss of the Barclays Premier League (BPL) rights to Singtel in 2009 as StarHub added new channels and likely renewed exclusive content at terms that are more prohibitive in opinion.
Stronger cable TV revenue for FY11/12. The rate hike would raise cable TV revenue by 4-13% for FY11/12, all else being equal (cable TV subscribers maintaining their current viewing preference and packages). The price increase effectively bumps- up the monthly subscription by 5-8% depending on content tiers. Based on the last rate hike in 2007, cable TV revenue expanded 5% a quarter following the increase and 10.7% after 6 months on the back of a S$2-4/mth uplift in cable TV ARPUs. While there is always risk of customers down trading to cheaper packages, we expect the majority of viewers to retain their existing plans given that Starhub still offers the most compelling pay-tv content with about 170 channels offered currently.
Cross carriage ruling should see programming cost moderate over the longer-term. While content cost will likely remain a drag on cost over the medium term, the implementation of the cross carriage ruling (sharing of content) would remove the incentive for pay-tv providers to compete aggressively for popular content, potentially lowering programming cost over the longer-term.
Maintain NEUTRAL, DCF FV upgraded to S$2.90. As cable TV revenue contributes some 16% of StarHub’s total revenue, the rate hike would have the effect of raising our overall FY11/12 revenue forecasts by about 2%, and consequently our core earnings estimates by a smaller 0.8-1% as the price hike only partially offsets higher content cost. Our DCF FV on StarHub is raised slightly to RM2.90 (from S$2.80 previously) based on 9.5% WACC and TG of 1.5%. StarHub remains a NEUTRAL on concerns over NGNBN competitive headwinds with share price support coming from its generous dividend yield of over 7%.