Author: kktan

 

HLFin – DMG

Higher QoQ earnings on more provision writeback

HLF reported 4Q11 net profit of S$24.7m, down 5.6% YoY, but up 11% QoQ. FY11 net profit of S$99.8m was above our S$93m forecast, due to more provisions writeback. HLF recorded a 5.2% QoQ expansion in loans, building on 3Q11’s 6.3%, which is a positive. We cut FY12 and FY13 net profit forecasts by 9% and 5% respectively to factor in weaker net interest income – management indicated that pricing for all categories of lending products continued to come under pressure. With concerns on slowing Singapore economic growth, we do not see any catalyst driving HLF share price up. Our target price of S$2.42 is pegged to 0.65x book. Maintain NEUTRAL.

Loans YoY expansion much stronger than deposit growth. Loans rose 5.2% QoQ or 18.7% YoY to S$7.45b. Deposits rose 6.0% QoQ or 8.1% YoY to S$7.76b. Although 4Q11 deposits’ growth is a positive versus 3Q11’s 2% sequential contraction, the stronger YoY loan growth versus deposits has translated to a higher loan deposit ratio. This could cap loan growth going forward.

Pre-provisioning operating profit contracted 1.5% QoQ. However, PBT was up 12% QoQ as provisions reversals doubled sequentially to S$7.1m.

Target P/B is lower than historical average. HLF trades at a historical average P/B of 0.95x. With the uncertain economic environment, we do not see any catalyst driving its share price to that level. Our target P/B of 0.65x is a premium to the 2009 global financial crisis low of 0.5x.

RafflesMed – BT

RMG eyes revenue boost from expansion

Plans to launch new specialist centre and extend hospital

RAFFLES Medical Group (RMG) is eyeing a 50 per cent bump in revenue by 2014 from its expansion plans to launch a new specialist medical centre and extend Raffles Hospital.

‘We are hopeful that our topline would grow by 50 per cent due to a combination of the expansion of the hospital and the start-up of the Raffles Specialist Centre in Orchard, which would in total increase our floor area from 300,000 square feet to 450,000 square feet,’ said executive chairman Loo Choon Yong.

In addition to extending Raffles Hospital by some 102,400 sq ft, the group is also launching a specialist medical centre at Bideford Road. The medical centre is slated to come onstream in 1H2013 while expansion of the hospital is on track for completion by 2014.

At the same time, increasing the number of specialists is also expected to contribute to the topline.

This year, RMG plans to boost staff count by 200, recruiting specialists in fields such as oncology, neurology, fertility, orthopaedics and ophthalmology.

Commenting on how its growth plans would impact the bottom line, Dr Loo said both the bigger hospital and new medical centre would allow for greater efficiency, given more bed capacity and increased use of facilities.

Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters yesterday, Dr Loo said that the group may raise its average service charge in Singapore by 4-5 per cent this year to keep up with anticipated salary increments.

The government is currently reviewing the salary structure of healthcare staff as it seeks to attract more people to work in the public health sector. This may require the private sector to follow suit to retain talent.

According to RMG, its fees for surgical cases work out 25-50 per cent cheaper versus comparable private tertiary hospitals, giving it some flexibility to work with when nudging up fees. The group has not yet decided exactly when this year the increase would kick in, it told BT.

Dr Loo also said in the Reuters interview that its loss-making medical centre in Shanghai, which was launched in 2010, is likely to swing into the black next year as costs stabilise and patient numbers grow, and that RMG is looking into the possibility of building a hospital in China.

For the financial year ended Dec 31, 2011, RMG posted an 11.3 per cent rise in net profit to $50.4 million thanks in part to a higher patient load and a wider range of medical specialties. Revenue rose 14.1 per cent to $272.8 million, spurred by growth in both hospital services and healthcare services.

RafflesMed – BT

RMG eyes revenue boost from expansion

Plans to launch new specialist centre and extend hospital

RAFFLES Medical Group (RMG) is eyeing a 50 per cent bump in revenue by 2014 from its expansion plans to launch a new specialist medical centre and extend Raffles Hospital.

‘We are hopeful that our topline would grow by 50 per cent due to a combination of the expansion of the hospital and the start-up of the Raffles Specialist Centre in Orchard, which would in total increase our floor area from 300,000 square feet to 450,000 square feet,’ said executive chairman Loo Choon Yong.

In addition to extending Raffles Hospital by some 102,400 sq ft, the group is also launching a specialist medical centre at Bideford Road. The medical centre is slated to come onstream in 1H2013 while expansion of the hospital is on track for completion by 2014.

At the same time, increasing the number of specialists is also expected to contribute to the topline.

This year, RMG plans to boost staff count by 200, recruiting specialists in fields such as oncology, neurology, fertility, orthopaedics and ophthalmology.

Commenting on how its growth plans would impact the bottom line, Dr Loo said both the bigger hospital and new medical centre would allow for greater efficiency, given more bed capacity and increased use of facilities.

Meanwhile, in an interview with Reuters yesterday, Dr Loo said that the group may raise its average service charge in Singapore by 4-5 per cent this year to keep up with anticipated salary increments.

The government is currently reviewing the salary structure of healthcare staff as it seeks to attract more people to work in the public health sector. This may require the private sector to follow suit to retain talent.

According to RMG, its fees for surgical cases work out 25-50 per cent cheaper versus comparable private tertiary hospitals, giving it some flexibility to work with when nudging up fees. The group has not yet decided exactly when this year the increase would kick in, it told BT.

Dr Loo also said in the Reuters interview that its loss-making medical centre in Shanghai, which was launched in 2010, is likely to swing into the black next year as costs stabilise and patient numbers grow, and that RMG is looking into the possibility of building a hospital in China.

For the financial year ended Dec 31, 2011, RMG posted an 11.3 per cent rise in net profit to $50.4 million thanks in part to a higher patient load and a wider range of medical specialties. Revenue rose 14.1 per cent to $272.8 million, spurred by growth in both hospital services and healthcare services.

HLFin – BT

Hong Leong Finance profit falls 18%

HONG Leong Finance (HLF) posted a net profit of $99.8 million, down 18.2 per cent, for the 2011 full year, due to the low interest rate environment, the group said.

The company announced separately yesterday the appointment of former Cabinet minister Raymond Lim as an independent non-executive director from March 1. Mr Lim is currently a director of the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) and also a senior adviser to John Swire & Sons (South-east Asia).

The 2011 net profit was helped by the reversal of provisions of $26.8 million, up 11.9 per cent. The last time net profit fell below $100 million was in 2008.

It posted earnings of $78 million then, down 41.5 per cent as it was affected by the $55 million provisions it had to set aside for settlements with customers who bought structured deposits that subsequently went into default.

HLF, Singapore’s biggest finance company, said that 2011 earnings per share fell to 22.65 cents from 27.7 cents. Final dividend was unchanged at eight cents per share.

Net loan assets grew 18.7 per cent during the year to end at $7.5 billion while deposits and balances of customers stood at $7.8 billion, up 8.1 per cent.

It said the growth of its loan book helped offset the pressure on pricing for lending products.

‘Pricing for all categories of lending products continued to come under pressure, although this was mitigated by the growth in loan book,’ it said.

For the full year, total interest income/hiring charges fell 13 per cent due to competition, it said.

A bright spot was in fee and commission income which improved by 19.7 per cent to $8.6 million due to higher fee income from some lending products and corporate advisory services.

Staff and other costs were also controlled; staff cost rose slightly, 1.9 per cent to $58.1 million and other operating expenses was up 4.8 per cent to $20.2 million.

HLF’s outlook for this year remains cautious as it sees the euro crisis spreading to more countries and weakness in the US and China affecting the rest of the Asian markets. It also said that new property measures announced recently would impact prices and slow down sales of residential properties in the near term. ‘We continue to exercise caution in this segment of the market,’ it said.

The stock ended unchanged yesterday at $2.45.

February 2012

Results Announcement

  • 2 Feb 12 : StarHub (Q411) – EPS 5.4ct (todate 18.4ct) ; Div 5ct (todate 20ct)
  • 7 Feb 12 : SATS (Q312) – EPS 3.5ct (todate 10.9ct)
  • 12 Feb 12 : SBSTransit (Q411) – EPS 1.43ct (todate 11.89ct) ; Div 2.8ct (todate 5.9ct)
  • 13 Feb 12 (AM) : SingTel (Q312) – EPS 5.66ct (todate 16.95ct)
  • 13 Feb 12 : ComfortDelgro (Q411) – EPS 2.7ct (todate 11.27ct) ; Div 3.3ct (todate 6ct)
  • 22 Feb 12 (AM) : MIIF (2H11) – Div 2.75ct
  • 23 Feb 12 : STEng (Q411) – EPS 4.95ct (todate 17.28ct) ; Div 12.5ct (todate 15.5ct)

 

STI = 2994.06 (+24.33)

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SPH

FY11 (Aug)

24

24

$3.790

6.332%

15.79

Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 8ct (Special)

SingPost

FY11 (Mar)

8.369

6.25

$0.970

6.443%

11.59

Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct

STI ETF

Dec-11

5.5

$3.010

3.654%

Dec-11 5.5ct ; Jun-11 4.5ct

SATS

FY11 (Mar)

17.4

17

$2.430

6.996%

13.97

Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Interim 5ct

ST Engg

FY11 (Dec)

17.28

15.50

$3.180

4.874%

18.40

Final 4ct + 8.5ct (Special) ; Interim 3ct

Transport

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SBSTransit

FY11 (Dec)

11.89

5.9

$1.710

3.450%

14.38

Interim 3.1ct ; Final 2.8ct

ComfortDelGro

FY11 (Dec)

11.27

6.0

$1.530

3.922%

13.58

Interim 2.7ct ; Final 3.3ct

SMRT

FY11 (Mar)

10.6

8.5

$1.735

4.899%

16.37

Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.75ct

TELCO

Stock

Period

EPS cts

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

PE

Div Breakdown

SingTel

FY11 (Mar)

24.02

25.8

$3.170

8.139%

13.20

Interim 6.8ct ; Final 9ct + Special 10ct

M1

FY11 (Dec)

18.1

14.5

$2.500

5.800%

13.81

Interim 6.6ct ; Final 7.9ct

StarHub

FY11 (Dec)

18.40

20

$2.940

6.803%

15.98

Q1 5ct ; Q2 5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct

Funds / Infrastructure

Stock

Period

DPS cts

Mkt

Yield

NAV

Div Breakdown

SPAus

1H – Sep11

A4.0 (Gross)

$1.330

8.104%

A$0.89

2H11 A4.0ct ; 1H11 A4.0ct

MIIF

2H – Dec11

2.75

$0.590

9.322%

$0.83

1H11 2.75ct ; 2H11 2.75ct

* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.3473) fm Yahoo

NOTES :

  • Mkt Price is as on 29-Feb-12
  • ST Engg : 1H11 (Jun) – 3ct ; 2H11 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 8.5ct (Special)
  • MIIF : 1H11 (Jun) – 2.75ct ; 2H11 (Dec) – 2.75ct
  • ComfortDelgro : Q411 (Dec) – 3.3ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 2.7ct
  • SBSTransit : Q411 (Dec) – 2.8ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 3.1ct
  • StarHub : FY12 Div Guidance – 5ct/Q
  • StarHub : Q411 (Dec ) – 5ct ; Q311 (Sep) – 5ct ; Q211 (Jun) – 5ct ; Q111 (Mar) – 5ct
  • SingPost : Q312 (Dec11) – 1.25ct ; Q212 (Sep11) – 1.25ct ; Q112 (Jun11) – 1.25ct
  • M1 : 2H11 (Dec) – Final 7.9ct ; 1H11 (Jun) – Interim 6.6ct
  • SATSvcs : Q212 (Sep11) – Interim 5ct
  • SingTel : 1H12 (Sep11) – Interim 6.8ct
  • SMRT : Q212 (Sep11) – Interim 1.75ct
  • SPH : 2H11 (Aug) – 9ct (Final) + 8ct (Special) ; 1H11 (Feb) – 7ct
  • SPAus : 2H11 (Mar11) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7721ct (after tax) ; 1H11 (Sep10) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7772ct (after tax)