Author: kktan
M1 – DMG
Giving life to LTE
THE BUZZ
M1 has launched Singapore’s first commercial LTE network in selected parts of the republic. The coverage will be progressively expanded island-wide by 1Q2012. The telco is rolling out the service to enterprise customers first until more LTE enabled devices are available in the market.
OUR TAKE
Asia’s first. We believe M1 (29%-owned by Axiata) is the pioneer in the commercialization of a LTE network in South East Asia, having conducted trials over the past year. Its 2 rivals, Singtel and StarHub, plan to launch their LTE networks by 2012 and are in various stages of field test and trials in selected locations. M1 joins the ranks of a handful of mobile operators to have commercialized their LTE networks (mainly in Europe and the US), albeit on a small scale, with a string of trials and committed deployments across the globe. TeliaSonera was the first operator to roll out LTE in Norway back in Dec 2009.
First mover advantage constrained by lack of devices and fledgling ecosystem. While LTE is a natural progression for current 3G networks, early adopters are inherently constrained by the lack of handsets and devices, which are only expected to be made available on a wider scale from 2013. As such, we are not surprised that M1 is only making the service available to mobile broadband enterprise customers. This should give it ample time to fine-tune its LTE strategy, address technical glitches and assess other deployment strategies before making the high-speed network available to mainstream small screen customers. The service is currently available in Suntec City, Beach Road, Tanjong Pagar, Shenton Way, Chinatown, Marina Bay and Tanjung Rhu.
Maintain BUY. We are leaving our core net profit forecasts of SGD170.4m and SGD187.5m for FY11 and FY12 unchanged for now. While M1’s first mover advantage in LTE is positive in terms of its branding campaign, we see little upside in the short to medium-term until adoption reaches critical mass, accompanying the maturity of the 4G eco-system over the next 2-3 years. The stock’s key share price re-rating catalysts are: (i) the stronger than expected results going forward; (ii) potential for further capital management; and (iii) better than-expected take-up of its NGNBN service.
M1 – DMG
Giving life to LTE
THE BUZZ
M1 has launched Singapore’s first commercial LTE network in selected parts of the republic. The coverage will be progressively expanded island-wide by 1Q2012. The telco is rolling out the service to enterprise customers first until more LTE enabled devices are available in the market.
OUR TAKE
Asia’s first. We believe M1 (29%-owned by Axiata) is the pioneer in the commercialization of a LTE network in South East Asia, having conducted trials over the past year. Its 2 rivals, Singtel and StarHub, plan to launch their LTE networks by 2012 and are in various stages of field test and trials in selected locations. M1 joins the ranks of a handful of mobile operators to have commercialized their LTE networks (mainly in Europe and the US), albeit on a small scale, with a string of trials and committed deployments across the globe. TeliaSonera was the first operator to roll out LTE in Norway back in Dec 2009.
First mover advantage constrained by lack of devices and fledgling ecosystem. While LTE is a natural progression for current 3G networks, early adopters are inherently constrained by the lack of handsets and devices, which are only expected to be made available on a wider scale from 2013. As such, we are not surprised that M1 is only making the service available to mobile broadband enterprise customers. This should give it ample time to fine-tune its LTE strategy, address technical glitches and assess other deployment strategies before making the high-speed network available to mainstream small screen customers. The service is currently available in Suntec City, Beach Road, Tanjong Pagar, Shenton Way, Chinatown, Marina Bay and Tanjung Rhu.
Maintain BUY. We are leaving our core net profit forecasts of SGD170.4m and SGD187.5m for FY11 and FY12 unchanged for now. While M1’s first mover advantage in LTE is positive in terms of its branding campaign, we see little upside in the short to medium-term until adoption reaches critical mass, accompanying the maturity of the 4G eco-system over the next 2-3 years. The stock’s key share price re-rating catalysts are: (i) the stronger than expected results going forward; (ii) potential for further capital management; and (iii) better than-expected take-up of its NGNBN service.
STEng – OCBC
ST Electronics wins S$58m of deals
ST Electronics wins S$58m of deals. ST Engineering’s (STE) electronics arm – ST Electronics (STEL) – has secured contracts worth around S$58m for Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) and Info-Security (IS) projects as orders continue to flow in. Earlier in Jun, its marine arm – ST Marine (STM) – announced that it won a shipbuilding contract worth S$171m from Swire Pacific Offshore Operations to build four offshore supply vessels.
ITS deals worth S$30m. According to STE, the various ITS projects will total S$30m, where STEL will implement an Automatic Fare Collection System for the extension of the Bangkok Mass Transit System Silom Line in Bangkok, which will be delivered by end 2012; STEL will also deliver a number of “eco-enabling traffic management improvement projects” on the roads in Asia. In addition, STEL will provide consultancy expertise for an Integrated Transport Platform (ITP) project in the western part of China which involves the design of an ITP for subsystems such as CCTV, licence plate recognition etc. Last but not least, STEL was also one of the four consortia awarded a tender by LTA (Land Transport Authority of Singapore) to conduct an 18-month system evaluation test for the next-generation electronic road pricing system.
IS deals worth S$28m. In the IS segment, STEL has won a number of contracts worth some S$28m to implement infosecurity devices and solutions for a national infrastructure project in Singapore; implement a security incident and event management system; and also set up a Cyber Security Operations Centre.
Expects no material impact in FY11. As with the earlier STM contract, the latest deals come with relatively long delivery dates, hence they are not expected to have any material impact on the group’s NTA and EPS for FY11. Nevertheless, we note that these orders would bump up its estimated order book to S$11.5b, of which management had previously guided that it would deliver some S$3.0b from Apr to Dec this year. The group had also said it believes to deliver higher revenue and profit-before-tax this year.
Maintain BUY with S$3.57 fair value. As before, we also do not expect the ongoing dispute with Louis Dreyfus Armateurs (LDA) over a vessel contract to have any significant impact on STE as a whole. STM believes that its total liability is capped at 10% of the deal worth S$178m – we also estimate any settlement would result in <5% reduction in the group’s FY11 pre-tax profit (Please see our 14 Jun report for more information). Hence we maintain our BUY rating on the stock with a fair value of S$3.57 (based on 21x FY11F EPS).
STEng – BT
ST Electronics wins $58m contracts
ST Engineering’s electronics arm, ST Electronics, has secured contracts worth $58 million for intelligent transportation systems and info-security projects.
Intelligent transportation systems projects account for $30 million.
In Thailand, ST Electronics will implement an automatic fare collection system (AFCS) for the Silom Line extension of Bangkok’s mass transit system.
The fare system will be for stations from Wong Wian Yai to Bang Wa and is scheduled for completion by the end of next year.
In China, ST Electronics will provide consultancy expertise for an integrated transport platform for a major city in the western part of the mainland.
This consultancy will include the design of a platform for subsystems such as CCTV, licence plate recognition, automated incident detection, dynamic messaging and parking guidance, traffic signal controls and enforcement system, as well as control centre and expert systems.
With the integrated transport platform, residents will benefit from the safe, efficient and enhanced intelligent transport system infrastructure.
In Singapore, the company is one of four consortia awarded a tender by the Land Transport Authority to conduct an 18-month system evaluation test for the next generation of electronic road pricing system.
Elsewhere in Asia, ST Electronics will deliver over the next 12 months a number of eco-enabling traffic management improvement projects, including the implementation of a radar and central management system for the purpose of monitoring traffic.
Info-security projects, which account for $28 million of the contract value, include the implementation of info-security devices and solutions for a national infrastructure project as well as a security incident and event management system.
In addition, the company will set up a cyber security operations centre, which will strengthen ST Electronics’ capability in the area of cyber security.
ST Engineering shares closed four cents higher at $2.88 yesterday.
June 2011
STI = 3079.74 (+28.95)
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SPH |
FY10 (Aug) |
31 |
27 |
$3.85 |
7.013% |
12.42 |
Interim 7ct ; Final 9ct + 11ct (Special) |
|
SingPost |
FY11 (Mar) |
8.369 |
6.25 |
$1.16 |
5.388% |
13.86 |
Q1, Q2, Q3 1.25ct ; Q4 2.5ct |
|
STI ETF |
Dec-10 |
— |
3.5 |
$3.15 |
2.222% |
— |
Dec10 3.5ct ; Jun10 3ct |
|
SATS |
FY11 (Mar) |
17.4 |
17 |
$2.56 |
6.641% |
14.71 |
Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Interim 5ct |
|
ST Engg |
FY10 (Dec) |
16.21 |
14.55 |
$2.98 |
4.883% |
18.38 |
Final 4ct + 7.55ct (Special) ; Interim 3ct |
Transport
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SBSTransit |
FY10 (Dec) |
17.63 |
8.80 |
$1.88 |
4.681% |
10.66 |
Interim 4.5ct ; Final 4.3ct |
|
ComfortDelGro |
FY10 (Dec) |
10.95 |
5.50 |
$1.42 |
3.873% |
12.97 |
Interim 2.7ct ; Final 2.8ct |
|
SMRT |
FY11 (Mar) |
10.6 |
8.5 |
$1.92 |
4.427% |
18.11 |
Interim 1.75ct ; Final 6.75ct |
TELCO
|
Stock |
Period |
EPS cts |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
PE |
Div Breakdown |
|
SingTel |
FY11 (Mar) |
24.02 |
25.8 |
$3.09 |
8.738% |
12.86 |
Interim 6.8ct ; Final 9ct + Special 10ct |
|
M1 |
FY10 (Dec) |
17.5 |
17.5 |
$2.51 |
6.972% |
14.34 |
Interim 6.3ct ; Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct |
|
StarHub |
FY10 (Dec) |
15.34 |
20 |
$2.76 |
7.246% |
17.99 |
Q1 5ct ; Q2 5ct ; Q3 5ct ; Q4 5ct |
Funds / Infrastructure
|
Stock |
Period |
DPS cts |
Mkt |
Yield |
NAV |
Div Breakdown |
|
SPAus |
2H11 (Mar-11) |
A4.0 (Gross) |
$1.190 |
8.801% |
A$0.89 |
2H11 A4.0ct ; 1H11 A4.0ct |
|
MIIF |
2H – Dec10 |
1.50 |
$0.565 |
5.310% |
$0.82 |
2H10 1.5ct ; 1H10 1.5ct |
* SPAus DPU in A$. Yield is Calculated Using Latest Exchange Rate (1.3092) fm Yahoo
NOTES :
- Mkt Price is as on 29-Jun-11
- SATSvcs : Q411 (Mar11) – Final 6ct + Special 6ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 5ct
- SPAus : 2H11 (Mar11) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7721ct (after tax) ; 1H11 (Sep10) – A4ct (before tax) / A3.7772ct (after tax)
- SingTel : 2H11 (Mar11) – Final 9ct + Special 10ct ; 1H11 (Sep10) – Interim 6.8ct
- StarHub : Q111 (Mar) – 5ct
- SingPost : Q411 (Mar11) – 2.5ct ; Q311 (Dec10) – 1.25ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – 1.25ct ; Q111 (Jun10) – 1.25ct
- SMRT : Q411 (Mar) – Final 6.75ct ; Q211 (Sep10) – Interim 1.75ct
- SPH : 1H11 (Feb) – 7ct
- MIIF : 2H10 (Dec) – 1.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – 1.5ct
- ST Engg : 2H10 (Dec) – 4ct (Final) + 7.55ct (Special) ; 1H10 (Jun) – 3ct
- ComfortDelgro : Q410 (Dec) – 2.8ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 2.7ct
- SBSTransit : Q410 (Dec) – 4.3ct ; Q210 (Jun) – 4.5ct
- StarHub : FY11 Div Guidance – 5ct/Q
- M1 : 2H10 (Dec) – Final 7.7ct + Special 3.5ct ; 1H10 (Jun) – Interim 6.3ct